(RightIsRight.co) – Underscoring his notably low approval ratings among a crucial demographic, a recent New York Times analysis reveals Joe Biden’s low chances of electoral success.
Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst for the New York Times, emphasized that Biden’s low popularity among young voters is not an anomaly confined to their polls but is a consistent pattern across various surveys.
Cohn addressed the skepticism surrounding these findings, stating that there is no indication that the polls are erroneous. Instead, the issue lies in Biden’s lack of appeal to a significant portion of young Democrats even when pitted against former President Donald Trump in hypothetical polls.
Showcasing relevant statistics, Cohn revealed that among young voters registered as Democrats or those who previously voted in Democratic primaries, Biden only leads with a 76-20 margin. This figure drops further to a 69-24 lead among young nonwhite Democrats. Cohn notes that this dissent within the party is unusual but not unprecedented.
Cohn drew parallels with past polling scenarios where similar dissent was observed, such as in congressional polls in highly educated suburbs and notably in the 2016 presidential race. In that instance, Trump made substantial gains among white working-class registered Democrats, hinting at his eventual victory.
The primary reasons for Biden’s unpopularity with young voters are multifaceted. Cohn pointed out that a significant number of young voters believe Biden is too old to be an effective president.
Additionally, his handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict has been a point of contention. This issue with young voters isn’t a recent development but has been a consistent trend, as evidenced by their lack of enthusiasm for Biden in the 2020 election.
Furthermore, Trump’s gains among nonwhite voters, who are predominantly younger, add another layer to Biden’s dismal electoral chances.
Cohn’s analysis presents a sobering outlook for Biden, suggesting that unless these issues are addressed, his campaign will face unsurmountable challenges in mobilizing a key demographic in the upcoming 2024 presidential race.