DeSantis Moves Ahead of Trump in Key 2024 State

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis

( – President Donald Trump has fallen behind Florida’s Governor Ron DeSantis among likely GOP primary voters in the key state of New Hampshire for the 2024 Republican nomination, according to a newly released poll.

Among the likely Republican primary voters in the state, Trump received the support of 37%. In comparison, DeSantis came on top with 39%, as the public opinion survey released on Wednesday showed.

The only other potential candidates for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination that got more than 1% support among the New Hampshire voters were former Vice President Mike Pence with 9% and former US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley with 6%.

The three other possible bidders mentioned in the polling question were former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, South Dakota’s Governor Kristi Noem, and Texas US Senator Ted Cruz. They each got only about 1%.

The poll was conducted among a total of 318 respondents by the Survey Center of the University of New Hampshire between June 16 and June 20.

The small number of polled likely Republican primary voters determined the high margin of error for the survey of 5.5%. This means that Trump and DeSantis were practically tied at the top spot.

At the same time, however, the same poll conducted last October found a clear-cut, decisive advantage for Trump, who back then got the support of 43% compared with only 18% for DeSantis.

Back then, Haley with 6% was ahead of Mike Pence with 4%, while Cruz got 2% and Noem 1%.

According to Andrew Smith, the Director of the Survey Center at the UNH, Trump’s sliding in the pre-primary poll could be explained by a “typical pattern.”

“A party’s losing candidate in the prior election is typically the best–known person in their party. As the primary gets closer, new candidates emerge and attract more media attention, and therefore more voter attention,” he elaborated.

The same poll also discovered that DeSantis would perform better than Trump when matched up against Joe Biden, who may or may not seek a second term. That part of the poll has a 3.4% error margin because it surveyed 845 likely GOP primary voters.

In a hypothetical electoral contest between DeSantis and Biden, the former got 47% vs. 46% for the latter. In contrast, a rematch between Trump and Biden produced 43% for the ex-President and 50% for the incumbent.

In the 2020 presidential election, Trump lost New Hampshire to Biden 53-45.